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MAYBANK KIM ENG

UOB KAYHIAN

Singapore Aviation Services

Jan-Feb 2019: where did the Chinese / ASEAN tourists go?

 

Visitors still slow but the hub continues to grow

Singapore visitor arrivals for Jan-Feb 2019 grew a tepid 2% YoY continuing the growth slowdown trend (4Q18 2.4%). China and ASEAN arrivals were flat but compensated by a strong showing from US and Europe. The “Terminal 4” effect of growing Changi as a regional hub is still playing out passenger throughput growth at 5.1% outpacing arrivals. We remain positive on the sector in the medium term and are BUYers of all three stocks in declining order of preference of ST Eng, SATS, SIA Eng.

 

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Fu Yu Corp (FUYU SP)

 

Massive Hidden Value In Properties Recognised At Cost

FUYU’s conservative accounting policy in recognising its properties at book value has undervalued the assets by S$50m, or 33% of its market cap, based on its 2018 annual report. Any disposal to unlock value could further rerate the stock. The hidden value of these properties, its cheap valuation, diversified operations and low utilisation rate make FUYU an attractive takeover target. FUYU offers dividend yield of 8.5% for 2019, and net cash forms 53% of its market cap. Maintain BUY and TP of S$0.285.

 

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OCBC DBS VICKERS

SG Hospitality: Hold your horses

 

Despite a strong rally for hospitality REITs YTD, we are likely looking at a soft 1Q19 in terms of operations. Recent STB data reflected poor RevPAR performance from Upscale and Mid-tier hotels for the first two months of the year while our channel checks have revealed that March was also a subdued month for the industry. Given that the supply situation remains favourable, we believe the softness in RevPAR has more to do with the absence of events that were held last year (e.g. the biennial Singapore Airshow). Post the YTD rally, we downgrade top pick Ascott Residence Trust (ART) as well as Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT) each from Buy to HOLD, while we maintain HOLD on CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDLHT). As at 12 Apr’s close, ART, CDLHT, and FEHT are trading at FY19F yields of 5.9%, 5.7% and 5.9% respectively, based on our forecasts. While we continue to see a two-year runway for RevPARs to improve given the benign supply outlook, we downgrade Singapore Hospitality from Overweight to NEUTRAL given the relatively tight dividend yields. Out of all the hospitality REITs under our coverage, we see the most upside for ART as at 12 Apr’s closing prices.

Frencken Group Limited

 

Beauty of diversification

 Initiate coverage with BUY and 25% potential upside to S$0.75 TP

 Diversification of business segments, manufacturing facilities and customer base brings resilience and stability

 Benefitting from technological advancement and rising transformation trend

 Attractive valuations - trading at steep discount to peers PE and offers c.4% dividend yield

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices




Share Prices

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings1.000-
Alliance Mineral0.1500.005
Anchor Resources0.012-0.001
AusGroup0.026-
Avi-Tech Electronics0.260-0.020
Best World Int.1.360-
China Sunsine1.120-
CSE Global0.4850.010
Food Empire0.495-
Geo Energy0.1530.003
Golden Energy0.210-0.005
GSS Energy0.083-0.003
HMI0.6650.015
ISDN Holdings0.225-0.005
KSH Holdings0.410-0.005
Miyoshi0.0440.001
Moya Asia0.0770.002
Nordic Group0.3100.030
Oxley Holdings0.320-0.005
REX International0.073-
Riverstone1.0000.005
Roxy-Pacific0.390-
Sing Holdings0.390-0.005
SingMedical0.3950.010
Sino Grandness0.0630.021
Straco Corp.0.750-
Sunningdale Tech1.3400.010
Sunpower Group0.4800.010
The Trendlines0.077-
Tiong Seng0.230-
Uni-Asia Group0.7600.005
XMH Holdings0.1550.002
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.500-0.020

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